News or animal spirits? Consumer confidence and economic activity: Redux (replication data)

DOI

Barsky and Sims (2012, AER) demonstrated, via indirect inference, that confidence innovations can be viewed as noisy signals about medium-term economic growth. They highlighted that the connection between confidence and subsequent activity, such as consumption and output, is primarily driven by news shocks about the future. We expand upon their research by incorporating the Great Recession and ZLB episodes, during which animal spirits have a greater potential to influence economic activity. Nevertheless, we confirm the main finding of Barsky and Sims (2012) that this relationship is predominantly driven by news about the future rather than animal spirits.

Identifier
DOI https://doi.org/10.15456/jae.2024124.0757693907
Metadata Access https://www.da-ra.de/oaip/oai?verb=GetRecord&metadataPrefix=oai_dc&identifier=oai:oai.da-ra.de:779966
Provenance
Creator Choi, Sangyup; Jeong, Jaehun; Park, Dohyeon; Yoo, Donghoon
Publisher ZBW - Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
Publication Year 2024
Rights Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY); Download
OpenAccess true
Contact ZBW - Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
Representation
Language English
Resource Type Collection
Discipline Economics